Cryptocurrencies from the eyes of a Financial Advisor
Cryptocurrencies

Cryptocurrencies from the eyes of a Financial Advisor

Nick Charalambous
Nick Charalambous9th Dec 2021 • 6 min read

My stance on cryptocurrencies

I start this piece by saying I am neither pro or against investing in cryptocurrencies. However as an investment advisor I certainly do have a view.  Cryptocurrencies fall into the unregulated (murkier) side of Investing and a lot of investment managers are fearful of giving their views. Personally I feel it would be foolhardy of me not to have knowledge in this space, especially as it is so topical. Those that don’t as Darwin described will find themselves extinct. 

Risk & Reward

Having witnessed first-hand the meteoric rise in the value of a lot of the main cryptocurrencies since the latter half of 2019 to the fall of around 15%-20% at the start of December this year, it reinforced one principle I firmly believe in.  That is that risk and reward are correlated.  A lot has been written about why cryptocurrencies have risen so much in value. The main issue I personally have in this area is that it is really hard to explain why it moves in price.  As a trained economist, I like to understand what causes the price of assets to change. 

Simple demand and supply goes out of the window here.  In the case of cryptocurrencies it is virtually impossible with the world so complex.  Whether it is a “tweet” from Elon Musk or armchair investors driving the price up due to boredom at home, the reality is that cryptocurrencies are being integrated in the ever evolving world we live in.  I feel my role is to explain the risks but also give guidance on how to access these “safely”.

My holdings

I hold a small amount, in my company and also my pension. Initially, I did this really as an education and to understand how the process works.  I have tried to diversify my approach as best I could. Like any good Investment manager limit my exposure to this asset class proportionately to my overall holdings.  The best advice I can give anyone reading this is as follows. Don’t invest because of FOMO (fear of missing out).  Invest because you believe in something and educate yourself

Crypto stories

I have heard the stories of people buying houses with the gains from crypto’s but I can also share some stories of those that lost significant amounts of money including a well-established  business or were conned in a scam.  I have made and lost money in this space in the last four years. ut the key for me is that I invested what I could afford to lose. That is the overwhelming takeaway from this piece I want to get across.

From the eyes of a financial advisor

Having people ask me on a daily basis about how to invest and what to invest in, I go back to the fundamentals of investing.  Risk runs on a scale of 1-7, with 1 being cash deposits and 7 shares in specific single companies.  I would argue they should make an “8” category for cryptocurrencies.

What platform should I use?

 If I haven’t completely put you off yes and you still want to invest, I would suggest using Coinbase. (the most established and recognised of the exchanges out there).  They are relatively inexpensive and provide good visibility and give access to all the main coins out there.  For those who have pensions from previous employments or run a business you can use a Pension to get exposure through listed exchanges of the likes of 21shares for example.

What I like about having exposure in a pension is that any gains are tax free. Whereas personal investors are liable to capital gains tax on profits.  A lot of people refer to Bitcoin as it is the “Daddy” and it some sense it is a good coin to start with. Bitcoin will generally display less volatile characteristics then some of the other coins.  I do find younger investors are more in tune with this.   

Volatility in cryptocurrencies

There is a school of thought  that cryptocurrencies like stock markets must fall and of course they will eventually be proven to be correct.  The thing is no one knows is when that will be. Interestingly I  attended a recent investment webinar from experts saying both can continue to rise because the world has evolved due to technological advances.  The statistic they used Is that instead of people being connected the world will be driven by devices and it is frightening how this will improve the way we operate.  Tesla cars for example are an example of a device from the self-drive to the iPad in the car.   Data  is the new “gold” and technology will continue to drive companies and Economies into the future.  Whether the same can be said of Cryptocurrencies remains to be seen.” 

These views are those of Nick Charalambous, Managing Director or Alpha Wealth, an independent Financial Advisory company.

Nick Charalambous

Nick Charalambous

9th Dec 2021

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Cryptocurrencies – Is now a good time to buy the dip?
Cryptocurrencies

Cryptocurrencies – Is now a good time to buy the dip?

Why the sudden collapse?

Cryptocurrencies have seen big sell offs over the last number of months, since the highs in November last year.  However in April and May these are deteriorated further.  Much of it is because of the fact that investors are more concerned about risk and there is a “risk off” mentality creeping in.  This is somewhat due to globally raising of interest rates and the war in the Ukraine has exacerbated this. To give you an example of this, depending on how long it takes you to read this response, the value of cryptocurrencies could be up or down by anything up to 10%.  Stock markets have suffered also since the start of February but Cryptocurrencies are like the stock market on steroids.

Is now a good time to buy the dip?

A lot of “investors” have approached me recently asking is now a good time to buy the dip.  This means invest when prices have fallen. I tell them that they need to remember a popular investor’s phrase of “be careful of trying to catch a falling knife”.  This means buying something that is falling making it appear to be good value. The logic of the warning is that it just isn’t possible to know how far a stock might drop before it eventually finds support and it is easy to bury yourself when your timing is off.  Whether you are invested in or considering investing in cryptocurrencies there is one fundamental rule you need to stick to.  This is the five year rule. Don’t invest in any investment (cryptocurrencies being one of these) if you have less than a five year investment horizon.

My advice

Whilst some cryptocurrencies  are down about 50%-80% on highs of 4 months ago it doesn’t necessarily mean it is a good time to invest in these.  Whether you understand the Metaverse, NFTs  or Smart Contracts or not, the same basic rules of investing apply to this asset class than any other.   My advice is to firstly consider your current financial position.  Whilst a lot of financial advisors steer well clear of this murky area of investing I feel it is important to be educated in how you can get exposure, whether it be personally, through a company investment or a pension fund.

Get your savings in order

The main consideration for all of you is to ensure that they are saving sufficiently in areas such as retirement plans or children’s education and are investing in the right vehicles.  There is no point putting monies for a new born child for their third level education into the bank, post office or credit union.  Don’t forget the five year rule applies.  These institutions are only for monies you need access to within five years. 

Beware of further crypto downfall

Once your time horizon goes beyond that you are then able to look at risk assets.  Risk warnings should apply to anyone investing in this market for anything other than speculation.  Please don’t buy into these because you think the market is “cheap” as I said early what goes down can go down can always go down further.

Nick Charalambous, Managing Director at Alpha Wealth – Book a review with me today to discuss this further or let us know your query through our contact page.

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